Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 18:00
12.0944.8%
X3.1729.6%
23.6625.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
DWDDWLWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Dunkerque
LWWDLDWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
0.80goals per matchDunkerque conceded1.10Matchup
Dunkerque attack
1.40goals per matchBastia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.60
Match total
26.10
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.00
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches519
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%43.2%-1.7 pp
Draw29.6%33.1%+3.6 pp
Away25.6%23.7%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.32–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-013.3%
0-011.0%
2-010.8%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.16
Average total9.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=519.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches204
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.2%31.8%–45.1% CI
Draw FT44.6%37.9%–51.5% CI
Away FT17.2%12.6%–22.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals8.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.4%
Away38.2%