Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:00
11.6855.6%
X3.7425.0%
24.7919.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
WLWWWWDWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Caen
LDLLWDWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.50
Against
3.60
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.90goals per matchCaen conceded2.20Matchup
Caen attack
1.40goals per matchAuxerre conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.60
10.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.80
Match total
29.10
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches549
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%58.1%+2.5 pp
Draw25.0%21.7%-3.3 pp
Away19.5%20.2%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.73–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.3%
2-112.4%
2-010.9%
1-19.7%
0-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–3.99
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=549.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.9%43.4%–58.3% CI
Draw FT32.5%25.9%–39.9% CI
Away FT16.6%11.7%–22.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away34.9%