Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:00
11.6855.6%
X3.7425.0%
24.7919.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
WLWWWWDWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Caen
LDLLWDWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.50
Against
3.60
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.90goals per match
Caen conceded2.20
Matchup

Caen attack

1.40goals per match
Auxerre conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.60
10.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.80
Match total
29.10

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches549
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%58.1%+2.5 pp
Draw25.0%21.7%-3.3 pp
Away19.5%20.2%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.730.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
2-112.4%
2-010.9%
1-19.7%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.99
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=549.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.9%43.4%–58.3% CI
Draw FT32.5%25.9%–39.9% CI
Away FT16.6%11.7%–22.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away34.9%