Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-05-26 · 19:45
12.8632.6%
X3.1130.0%
22.4937.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
WWWLDWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Le Havre
DDWDDDWWWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.80
Against
3.60
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
1.80goals per matchLe Havre conceded0.60Matchup
Le Havre attack
0.90goals per matchBastia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.60
9.20
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.40
Match total
30.00
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches468
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.8%-1.8 pp
Draw30.0%30.6%+0.6 pp
Away37.4%38.7%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.11–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
0-112.8%
0-010.3%
2-19.8%
1-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–4.88
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.4%20.2%–33.6% CI
Draw FT44.8%37.4%–52.5% CI
Away FT28.8%22.4%–36.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.4%
Away52.1%