Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 18:00
14.4721.0%
X3.5726.3%
21.7852.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guingamp
LLLLWLWLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Metz
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
3.20
8.20
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guingamp attack

1.50goals per match
Metz conceded0.60
Matchup

Metz attack

2.00goals per match
Guingamp conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.20
8.20
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

17.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
30.10
Match total
24.80

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%23.8%+2.8 pp
Draw26.3%27.0%+0.7 pp
Away52.7%49.2%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

0.961.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
0-212.7%
0-111.1%
2-17.9%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.79
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.2%
2+ goals51.3%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.0%
Away59.0%