Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 18:00
14.4721.0%
X3.5726.3%
21.7852.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guingamp
LLLLWLWLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Metz
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
3.20
8.20
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guingamp attack
1.50goals per matchMetz conceded0.60Matchup
Metz attack
2.00goals per matchGuingamp conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.20
8.20
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
30.10
Match total
24.80
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%23.8%+2.8 pp
Draw26.3%27.0%+0.7 pp
Away52.7%49.2%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
0.96–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.0%
0-212.7%
0-111.1%
2-17.9%
1-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–5.79
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.2%
2+ goals51.3%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.0%
Away59.0%