Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 18:00
12.4039.0%
X3.1529.7%
22.9931.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nimes
WWLLWLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Pau FC
WDLLWDLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Against
7.40
7.70
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nimes attack
1.50goals per matchPau FC conceded1.00Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.00goals per matchNimes conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.40
7.70
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.20
Match total
25.50
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches657
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29.7%31.2%+1.5 pp
Away31.3%30.3%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.20–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-012.5%
0-010.7%
0-19.4%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.53
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=657.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.1%–34.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%39.2%–51.9% CI
Away FT26.0%20.7%–32.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.9%
Away45.5%