Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 18:00
11.9348.5%
X3.3228.2%
24.0323.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
LWWWWLDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Amiens
LDWDWLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.00
Against
5.60
9.70
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
1.60goals per matchAmiens conceded1.60Matchup
Amiens attack
1.20goals per matchBastia conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.60
9.70
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.70
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.70
Match total
25.90
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.20
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches699
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%49.8%+1.2 pp
Draw28.2%28.2%-0.0 pp
Away23.2%22.0%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS50.2%
Historical average
1.50–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-012.4%
2-110.9%
2-010.6%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–4.16
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=699.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches227
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.1%33.9%–46.6% CI
Draw FT39.2%33.1%–45.7% CI
Away FT20.7%15.9%–26.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.2%
Away36.6%