Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 18:00
14.5020.8%
X3.5026.8%
21.7952.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Niort
LWDWLLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Caen
LDLDWLDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.20
9.20
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Niort attack
1.40goals per matchCaen conceded1.60Matchup
Caen attack
0.90goals per matchNiort conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.20
9.20
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
17.80N=10
23.70
Match total
33.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.50
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%29.4%+8.6 pp
Draw26.8%25.0%-1.8 pp
Away52.4%45.6%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.09–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-216.2%
1-114.7%
1-011.8%
1-211.8%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.91–6.06
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away50.0%