Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 18:00
13.1130.1%
X2.9331.9%
22.4638.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valenciennes
WWWDDDDWDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Bastia
LDWLDLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
4.10
7.80
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valenciennes attack
1.60goals per matchBastia conceded1.40Matchup
Bastia attack
0.80goals per matchValenciennes conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.10
7.80
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
27.20
Match total
30.40
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%29.2%-0.8 pp
Draw31.9%27.4%-4.6 pp
Away38.0%43.4%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
1.03–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.0%
1-011.3%
1-211.3%
1-110.4%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.47–4.68
Average total9.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals28.9%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.7%
Away47.4%