Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 18:00
12.2242.1%
X3.0930.2%
23.3827.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pau FC
DWDWWLDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Niort
DLLLDDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.30
Against
5.30
8.40
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.00goals per matchNiort conceded1.70Matchup
Niort attack
0.80goals per matchPau FC conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.30
8.40
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.50
Match total
26.90
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.90
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches649
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%42.5%+0.4 pp
Draw30.2%32.4%+2.1 pp
Away27.7%25.1%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.27–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-014.3%
0-010.5%
2-09.7%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.88–4.25
Average total9.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=649.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.9%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.529.6%
Over 11.522.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches255
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.7%30.1%–41.7% CI
Draw FT42.7%36.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.6%17.0%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away43.5%