Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 18:00
11.8750.1%
X3.2728.7%
24.4121.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
WWDLWWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nimes
LLLLDDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
0.40
Conceded
1.80
0%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.20
Against
5.00
10.40
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.80
1.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
0.90goals per matchNimes conceded1.80Matchup
Nimes attack
0.90goals per matchBastia conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.00
10.40
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
30.70
Match total
27.30
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches298
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%51.0%+0.9 pp
Draw28.7%32.6%+3.9 pp
Away21.2%16.4%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS43.0%
Historical average
1.43–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
1-113.4%
0-012.8%
2-111.1%
2-010.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–3.94
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.524.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.2%31.6%–49.4% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.6%–54.8% CI
Away FT14.3%9.0%–22.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away33.0%