Ligue 2 · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 18:00
12.4238.7%
X2.9931.3%
23.1329.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valenciennes
DWWWDDDDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Dijon
WLLLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
7.40
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valenciennes attack
1.60goals per matchDijon conceded1.50Matchup
Dijon attack
0.70goals per matchValenciennes conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
7.40
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
27.30
Match total
24.20
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches393
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%43.3%+4.5 pp
Draw31.3%30.8%-0.6 pp
Away29.9%26.0%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.26–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-013.2%
0-011.7%
2-110.7%
2-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.92–4.13
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=393.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.522.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%29.0%–44.1% CI
Draw FT43.4%35.8%–51.4% CI
Away FT20.4%14.8%–27.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.6%
Away42.1%