Ligue 2 · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 18:00
12.3739.5%
X3.0630.6%
23.1329.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guingamp
WWDDDWDWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Caen
DDLDLLDWWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
8.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guingamp attack

1.70goals per match
Caen conceded1.40
Matchup

Caen attack

1.40goals per match
Guingamp conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
8.70
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
26.00
Match total
30.90

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches534
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%37.1%-2.4 pp
Draw30.6%33.9%+3.3 pp
Away29.9%29.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.181.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
0-012.4%
1-011.0%
0-110.3%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.55
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=534.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.9%22.1%–34.4% CI
Draw FT47.8%41.0%–54.6% CI
Away FT24.4%19.0%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away42.8%