Ligue 2 · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 19:00
13.6525.7%
X3.5726.3%
21.9548.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Caen
DLDLDWLLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Auxerre
WDLLDWDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Caen attack
0.80goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.20Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.20goals per matchCaen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
8.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
31.90
Match total
21.60
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.30
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.7%22.4%-3.2 pp
Draw26.3%29.0%+2.7 pp
Away48.1%48.6%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.05–1.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
0-111.2%
0-09.3%
1-28.4%
0-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.30–6.01
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Draw FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI
Away FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away60.0%