Ligue 2 · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:00
12.5137.2%
X2.9631.5%
22.9831.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Caen
DDDLDLDWLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Pau FC
WDLLLLWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.70
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
7.70
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Caen attack
0.80goals per matchPau FC conceded1.80Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.20goals per matchCaen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
7.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
32.40
Match total
26.00
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%31.7%-5.4 pp
Draw31.5%33.8%+2.3 pp
Away31.3%34.5%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.10–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
0-111.7%
0-09.7%
1-09.7%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–3.98
Average total8.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Draw FT46.0%33.0%–59.6% CI
Away FT20.0%11.2%–33.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals8.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away42.0%