Ligue 2 · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:00
12.5137.2%
X2.9631.5%
22.9831.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Caen
DDDLDLDWLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Pau FC
WDLLLLWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
7.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Caen attack

0.80goals per match
Pau FC conceded1.80
Matchup

Pau FC attack

1.20goals per match
Caen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
7.70
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

18.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
32.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%31.7%-5.4 pp
Draw31.5%33.8%+2.3 pp
Away31.3%34.5%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.101.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-111.7%
0-09.7%
1-09.7%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.993.98
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Draw FT46.0%33.0%–59.6% CI
Away FT20.0%11.2%–33.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away42.0%