Ligue 2 · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:00
12.3240.3%
X2.8133.3%
23.5426.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nancy
WLDLDDDDWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Caen
LLWLWDLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
7.20
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nancy attack

1.70goals per match
Caen conceded1.80
Matchup

Caen attack

1.10goals per match
Nancy conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
7.20
Match total
8.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
31.80
Match total
29.60

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.80
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%44.6%+4.3 pp
Draw33.3%30.4%-2.9 pp
Away26.4%25.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.411.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.9%
1-116.1%
2-08.9%
1-28.9%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.253.84
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.2%
Over 9.539.3%
Over 10.526.8%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away45.0%