Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 19:00
13.2528.8%
X2.8932.4%
22.4138.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chateauroux
DLWLDLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Caen
LLWDDLLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.80
11.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chateauroux attack
0.90goals per matchCaen conceded1.30Matchup
Caen attack
1.50goals per matchChateauroux conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.80
11.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
25.50
Match total
30.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%5.9%-22.9 pp
Draw32.4%29.4%-3.0 pp
Away38.8%64.7%+25.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
0.82–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.6%
1-117.6%
1-211.8%
0-211.8%
2-311.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.35
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.517.6%
Over 11.511.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.9%
Away55.6%