Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:00
11.6058.3%
X3.4826.8%
26.2914.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWDWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Caen
DLLWDDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
0.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.50
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.10
Against
5.10
7.90
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.20
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
1.40goals per matchCaen conceded1.30Matchup
Caen attack
1.20goals per matchLens conceded0.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.10
7.90
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
31.40
Match total
29.90
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%50.0%-8.3 pp
Draw26.8%21.4%-5.4 pp
Away14.8%28.6%+13.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.43–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.3%
2-114.3%
3-114.3%
2-014.3%
1-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.21–3.36
Average total10.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away34.6%