Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:00
11.6058.3%
X3.4826.8%
26.2914.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWDWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Caen
DLLWDDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.10
Against
5.10
7.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.20
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.40goals per match
Caen conceded1.30
Matchup

Caen attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded0.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.10
7.90
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
31.40
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%50.0%-8.3 pp
Draw26.8%21.4%-5.4 pp
Away14.8%28.6%+13.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.431.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
2-114.3%
3-114.3%
2-014.3%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.213.36
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away34.6%