Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:00
13.2428.8%
X3.0530.6%
22.3040.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Orleans
LDLDLLLWWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Ajaccio
LWDWDWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.90
Against
5.00
12.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Orleans attack
0.80goals per matchAjaccio conceded1.00Matchup
Ajaccio attack
1.60goals per matchOrleans conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.00
12.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.70
Match total
25.20
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%20.6%-8.2 pp
Draw30.6%38.2%+7.6 pp
Away40.6%41.2%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS38.2%
Historical average
0.79–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-123.5%
0-020.6%
1-111.8%
1-28.8%
1-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–4.85
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
0.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal53.3%
2+ goals13.3%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.7%
Away40.0%