Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:00
12.6735.0%
X2.7633.8%
22.9931.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Caen
LLDDWDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Troyes
WWLWDWWLLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.20
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
1.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Caen attack

1.10goals per match
Troyes conceded0.70
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.80goals per match
Caen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
30.50
Match total
30.10

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.20
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%25.0%-10.0 pp
Draw33.8%66.7%+32.8 pp
Away31.2%8.3%-22.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.516.7%
Over 3.58.3%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.040.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-141.7%
1-020.8%
0-016.7%
1-24.2%
4-44.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.42
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%