Ligue 2 · 2019/20
2020-02-04 · 20:05
11.8550.5%
X3.1429.8%
24.7419.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Caen
DLLDDWDWDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Niort
WWDLLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.90
Against
5.80
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Caen attack
0.70goals per matchNiort conceded1.40Matchup
Niort attack
0.80goals per matchCaen conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.80
9.20
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.00
Match total
29.50
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.90
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%51.5%+1.0 pp
Draw29.8%27.3%-2.5 pp
Away19.7%21.2%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.61–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.2%
1-012.1%
2-012.1%
2-112.1%
3-39.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–4.09
Average total9.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.530.3%
Over 11.521.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away60.0%