Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
12.8632.5%
X3.8324.3%
22.1543.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
LDWLWDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
LLDDWWWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.20goals per match
Monaco conceded1.30
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.30goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.50
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.70
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%26.7%-5.8 pp
Draw24.3%22.2%-2.0 pp
Away43.2%51.1%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS77.8%

Historical average

1.582.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-317.8%
2-111.1%
1-18.9%
1-26.7%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.115.44
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.564.4%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away72.7%