Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
15.1518.1%
X4.5420.5%
21.5261.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris FC
DLDDLWWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Paris SG
WLWWWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.10
9.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris FC attack

1.50goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.00goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.10
9.70
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.00
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
7.90N=10
21.20
Match total
17.90

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.10
On target
6.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%21.2%+3.1 pp
Draw20.5%21.2%+0.7 pp
Away61.4%57.6%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.560.6%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

1.482.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-315.2%
2-212.1%
0-112.1%
1-39.1%
1-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.91
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals37.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away74.1%