Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
15.1518.1%
X4.5420.5%
21.5261.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris FC
DLDDLWWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Paris SG
WLWWWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.10
9.70
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris FC attack
1.50goals per matchParis SG conceded0.90Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.00goals per matchParis FC conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.10
9.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.00
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
7.90N=10
21.20
Match total
17.90
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.10
On target
6.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%21.2%+3.1 pp
Draw20.5%21.2%+0.7 pp
Away61.4%57.6%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.560.6%
BTTS72.7%
Historical average
1.48–2.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-315.2%
2-212.1%
0-112.1%
1-39.1%
1-16.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.91
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals37.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away74.1%