Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
11.3469.6%
X5.0918.3%
27.7512.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LLDDDDLLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Metz
LLDLLLLDLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
2.20
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nice attack

0.90goals per match
Metz conceded2.30
Matchup

Metz attack

1.00goals per match
Nice conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
4.00
On target
1.90
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%72.7%+3.1 pp
Draw18.3%18.2%-0.1 pp
Away12.0%9.1%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

2.350.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
1-011.5%
3-09.5%
2-09.1%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.223.45
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.560.1%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.3%37.7%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.8%30.7%–53.7% CI
Away FT9.0%4.2%–18.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.2%
Away29.9%