Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
12.5237.0%
X3.5126.5%
22.5536.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
DLLLLWLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Toulouse
DWWLLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
8.60
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
1.20goals per matchToulouse conceded1.60Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.70goals per matchNantes conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
8.60
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
28.30
Match total
23.30
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches546
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%33.5%-3.4 pp
Draw26.5%31.7%+5.2 pp
Away36.5%34.8%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS62.1%
Historical average
1.38–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-29.5%
2-18.4%
1-07.7%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.84
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=546.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%26.3%–41.2% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.1%–48.7% CI
Away FT26.0%19.6%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals19.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.0%
Away51.3%