Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
11.9946.8%
X3.6925.2%
23.3328.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWLWDWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Rennes
WLWLLWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.80
2.20
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.00
Against
5.00
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Rennes conceded1.90
Matchup

Rennes attack

2.00goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.00
9.20
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.90
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.60
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%50.9%+4.1 pp
Draw25.2%22.5%-2.8 pp
Away28.0%26.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.781.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-010.7%
2-08.3%
0-17.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.30
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=168.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.4%43.3%–70.5% CI
Draw FT21.3%12.0%–34.9% CI
Away FT21.3%12.0%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.6%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.5%
Away48.9%