Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
11.7353.8%
X4.0323.1%
24.0423.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWWWWDLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lens
WWWLWDLLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.80
Against
2.30
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.50
Matchup

Lens attack

1.90goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
2.30
9.20
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
5.00
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%54.6%+0.8 pp
Draw23.1%26.1%+3.0 pp
Away23.1%19.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.541.8%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.981.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-09.6%
1-08.4%
2-17.6%
3-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.95
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Draw FT36.2%25.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.5%
2+ goals55.2%
3+ goals31.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.0%
Away50.0%