Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
11.3668.6%
X4.7719.6%
27.8711.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWLLDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Auxerre
DLLDWDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.10
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.30goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.40
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.10goals per match
Lille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
21.90
Match total
28.20

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%73.0%+4.4 pp
Draw19.6%17.7%-1.9 pp
Away11.9%9.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.180.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-012.4%
3-011.1%
2-111.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.033.31
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.0%50.1%–75.9% CI
Draw FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Away FT8.0%3.2%–18.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.0%
Away28.0%