Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:00
11.3668.6%
X4.7719.6%
27.8711.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WWLLDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Auxerre
DLLDWDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.10
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.30goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.40Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.10goals per matchLille conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
21.90
Match total
28.20
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%73.0%+4.4 pp
Draw19.6%17.7%-1.9 pp
Away11.9%9.3%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.18–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.2%
2-012.4%
3-011.1%
2-111.1%
2-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.03–3.31
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.0%50.1%–75.9% CI
Draw FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Away FT8.0%3.2%–18.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.0%
Away28.0%