Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
14.2921.7%
X3.7824.7%
21.7453.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
LWLWDDLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lyon
DLWWWLLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.60
8.50
Total
10.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.00goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.40goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.60
8.50
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.70
On target
5.20
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%19.4%-2.3 pp
Draw24.7%24.4%-0.3 pp
Away53.6%56.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.071.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.2%
1-29.5%
0-08.5%
0-27.8%
1-37.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.365.57
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%13.7%–31.4% CI
Draw FT36.3%26.6%–47.2% CI
Away FT42.5%32.3%–53.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.3%
Away56.3%