Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
11.4962.6%
X4.5220.6%
25.5716.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rennes
WWDLWWLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Paris FC
LDLWDDDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
7.40
11.50
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.70goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.10
Matchup

Paris FC attack

1.10goals per match
Rennes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.40
11.50
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.50
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.60
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.6%60.2%-2.5 pp
Draw20.6%18.0%-2.6 pp
Away16.7%21.8%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.231.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-19.8%
2-09.0%
1-19.0%
3-08.3%
4-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.86
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away46.2%