Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
11.1680.5%
X7.4212.6%
213.446.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWWLWLWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brest
WLLDDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.90
100%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.00
Against
7.30
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.80goals per matchBrest conceded1.90Matchup
Brest attack
0.90goals per matchParis SG conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.30
10.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
18.60
Match total
25.90
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.70
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.5%92.3%+11.8 pp
Draw12.6%1.5%-11.0 pp
Away6.9%6.2%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS41.5%
Historical average
2.88–0.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-016.9%
4-015.4%
3-015.4%
2-113.8%
1-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
7.68–3.05
Average total10.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.552.3%
Over 11.535.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.5%
Away38.1%