Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
11.1680.5%
X7.4212.6%
213.446.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWLWLWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brest
WLLDDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.90
100%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.00
Against
7.30
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.80goals per match
Brest conceded1.90
Matchup

Brest attack

0.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.30
10.20
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
18.60
Match total
25.90

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.70
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.5%92.3%+11.8 pp
Draw12.6%1.5%-11.0 pp
Away6.9%6.2%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

2.880.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.9%
4-015.4%
3-015.4%
2-113.8%
1-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.683.05
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.552.3%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.5%
Away38.1%