Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
12.2840.8%
X3.6625.4%
22.7533.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
LWLLWWWWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lille
WWLLDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.90goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Matchup

Lille attack

1.50goals per match
Monaco conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.10
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches322
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%39.8%-1.0 pp
Draw25.4%25.2%-0.3 pp
Away33.8%35.1%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.571.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.2%
1-28.7%
1-08.4%
2-17.5%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.74
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%29.9%–50.1% CI
Draw FT40.7%30.9%–51.3% CI
Away FT19.8%12.7%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.8%
Away41.9%