Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
13.0730.3%
X3.5826.0%
22.1343.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LLLDLLLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Lorient
DDWWLDDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.00goals per match
Lorient conceded1.30
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Metz conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.20
Match total
22.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches419
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%33.2%+2.9 pp
Draw26.0%26.5%+0.5 pp
Away43.7%40.3%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.361.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
2-19.3%
0-17.4%
1-27.4%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.14
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=418.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%17.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT41.5%32.6%–51.0% CI
Away FT34.0%25.6%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away56.6%