Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
13.4227.2%
X3.6925.2%
21.9647.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Le Havre
LDWDWWLDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Marseille
WLWDLLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
8.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Le Havre attack
1.10goals per matchMarseille conceded2.00Matchup
Marseille attack
1.40goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.90
Match total
23.00
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
3.90
On target
5.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches218
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%31.2%+4.0 pp
Draw25.2%21.1%-4.1 pp
Away47.5%47.7%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
1.28–1.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.0%
1-09.2%
1-19.2%
2-17.8%
0-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.40–5.24
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=218.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%24.2%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.3%18.5%–40.8% CI
Away FT36.7%25.6%–49.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals28.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.3%
Away61.7%