Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
12.3639.5%
X3.3627.8%
22.8532.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
DWLLDLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nice
LLLWLLWLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.20goals per match
Nice conceded1.80
Matchup

Nice attack

1.00goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.90
Match total
23.10

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches755
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%42.9%+3.4 pp
Draw27.8%27.5%-0.2 pp
Away32.7%29.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.481.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-09.8%
2-18.9%
2-07.5%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.76
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=754.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches232
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%29.1%–41.2% CI
Draw FT39.7%33.6%–46.1% CI
Away FT25.4%20.3%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away48.7%