Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:45
11.4365.4%
X4.7919.5%
26.1815.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Nantes
LLWLLLDDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
8.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.80
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.60goals per match
Lens conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
8.90
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.30
Match total
27.70

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.50
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%65.2%-0.2 pp
Draw19.5%20.2%+0.7 pp
Away15.1%14.6%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

2.291.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.7%
3-19.0%
1-08.4%
1-18.4%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.78
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.560.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Draw FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Away FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.4%
Away46.9%