Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 19:45
12.1643.0%
X3.5925.9%
22.9931.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
LWWWWWDLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Rennes
WWLWLLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
9.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.80goals per match
Rennes conceded1.50
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.90goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
9.00
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.70
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches503
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%41.0%-2.1 pp
Draw25.9%29.4%+3.5 pp
Away31.1%29.6%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.621.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.5%
2-29.1%
1-08.5%
0-08.2%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.71
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=502.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.558.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.4%–42.1% CI
Draw FT42.6%34.6%–51.0% CI
Away FT23.5%17.2%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.2%