Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 16:15
12.5636.4%
X3.4826.8%
22.5436.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
WLDWLWDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Toulouse
DDWWLLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.30goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.60
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.60goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.80
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
21.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%33.8%-2.6 pp
Draw26.8%26.9%+0.1 pp
Away36.7%39.3%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.341.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-210.9%
1-09.2%
2-18.3%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.81
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.2%25.2%–40.1% CI
Draw FT29.5%22.7%–37.3% CI
Away FT38.4%30.9%–46.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals47.3%
3+ goals27.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.2%
Away59.6%