Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 16:15
12.0146.4%
X3.4427.1%
23.5326.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris FC
LDLDDLWWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brest
LWLLDDWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Against
7.20
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paris FC attack

1.10goals per match
Brest conceded1.80
Matchup

Brest attack

0.90goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.20
10.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
21.60
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.70
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches757
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%46.2%-0.2 pp
Draw27.1%29.1%+1.9 pp
Away26.4%24.7%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.491.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-011.6%
2-110.3%
2-07.9%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.44
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=757.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches257
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%32.0%–43.8% CI
Draw FT37.7%32.0%–43.8% CI
Away FT24.5%19.7%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away47.9%