Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 14:00
11.3967.2%
X4.4820.8%
27.7812.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWWLLDWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Le Havre
DLLDLLLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.80
Against
5.90
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.30goals per match
Le Havre conceded1.50
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.50goals per match
Lille conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.90
9.00
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
21.50
Match total
29.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches232
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%73.7%+6.5 pp
Draw20.8%15.5%-5.3 pp
Away12.0%10.8%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS39.7%

Historical average

2.060.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.7%
2-014.2%
3-010.8%
2-19.1%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.353.53
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.1%56.6%–77.7% CI
Draw FT18.1%10.9%–28.5% CI
Away FT13.9%7.7%–23.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.2%
Away33.3%