Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:05
14.1122.7%
X3.9623.5%
21.7353.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WLLDDDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Lens
WWWWLWDLLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.20
2.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.30
Against
2.10
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.50
Matchup

Lens attack

2.20goals per match
Nice conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
2.10
10.30
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
17.20N=10
4.20
On target
5.80
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%21.7%-0.9 pp
Draw23.5%25.5%+2.0 pp
Away53.8%52.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

1.181.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.1%
1-19.8%
2-28.2%
0-27.1%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.66
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away58.8%