Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 18:00
16.5214.3%
X5.0618.5%
21.3967.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WLLLDLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Monaco
LLLDDWWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
9.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.10goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.20goals per match
Metz conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
9.40
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.80
Match total
23.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.90
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%11.4%-2.9 pp
Draw18.5%22.9%+4.4 pp
Away67.2%65.7%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS68.6%

Historical average

1.172.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
1-211.4%
1-311.4%
2-35.7%
0-45.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.407.31
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.1%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.554.3%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away71.4%