Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 16:00
11.2972.6%
X5.6716.5%
28.6010.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWWLWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Lorient
LDDWWLDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.40
100%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.20
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.90goals per match
Lorient conceded1.40
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
18.80
Match total
22.80

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.6%77.9%+5.3 pp
Draw16.5%12.8%-3.7 pp
Away10.9%9.3%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.546.5%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

2.700.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
1-010.5%
2-010.5%
1-15.8%
5-05.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.623.50
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away38.5%