Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 16:00
11.2972.6%
X5.6716.5%
28.6010.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWWWLWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Lorient
LDDWWLDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.40
100%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.20
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.90goals per matchLorient conceded1.40Matchup
Lorient attack
1.00goals per matchParis SG conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
18.80
Match total
22.80
Shots
19.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.6%77.9%+5.3 pp
Draw16.5%12.8%-3.7 pp
Away10.9%9.3%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.546.5%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
2.70–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.1%
1-010.5%
2-010.5%
1-15.8%
5-05.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.62–3.50
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.85
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away38.5%