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Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 14:00

Nantes

vs

Marseille

14.4520.9%
X3.9523.6%
21.6855.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LDLLLLWLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Marseille
WWLWDLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
3.60
8.40
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.50goals per match
Nantes conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.60
8.40
Match total
7.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.60
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.9%17.0%-4.0 pp
Draw23.6%24.0%+0.4 pp
Away55.5%59.0%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.02–1.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
0-210.2%
1-210.2%
0-19.5%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.06–5.67
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%15.0%–35.6% CI
Draw FT27.0%17.6%–39.0% CI
Away FT49.2%37.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away65.1%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNantesForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNantes vs MarseilleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.