Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 16:15
11.6257.5%
X3.8124.5%
25.1818.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Le Havre
DLDWDWWLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Metz
WLLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
0.60
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
8.50
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
1.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Le Havre attack
0.80goals per matchMetz conceded1.90Matchup
Metz attack
0.80goals per matchLe Havre conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
26.30
Match total
21.90
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches581
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%60.1%+2.5 pp
Draw24.5%22.4%-2.1 pp
Away18.0%17.6%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.71–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.8%
2-112.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.2%
3-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.11–3.75
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=581.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.9%41.6%–56.2% CI
Draw FT32.0%25.6%–39.2% CI
Away FT19.1%14.0%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.5%
Away40.4%