Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 16:15
11.6257.5%
X3.8124.5%
25.1818.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
DLDWDWWLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Metz
WLLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
0.60
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
8.50
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
1.50
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.80goals per match
Metz conceded1.90
Matchup

Metz attack

0.80goals per match
Le Havre conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
26.30
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches581
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%60.1%+2.5 pp
Draw24.5%22.4%-2.1 pp
Away18.0%17.6%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.710.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
2-112.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.2%
3-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.113.75
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=581.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.9%41.6%–56.2% CI
Draw FT32.0%25.6%–39.2% CI
Away FT19.1%14.0%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away40.4%