Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 20:05
13.3228.1%
X3.6425.6%
22.0146.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
DLWLWDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
WLLLDDWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
0.80goals per matchMonaco conceded1.70Matchup
Monaco attack
1.50goals per matchToulouse conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
9.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.90
Match total
23.40
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.80
5%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%28.7%+0.7 pp
Draw25.6%19.2%-6.4 pp
Away46.3%52.1%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS59.3%
Historical average
1.25–1.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.4%
0-19.6%
1-18.4%
2-17.8%
0-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.39–5.16
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Away FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.5%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals35.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away70.0%