Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 20:05
13.3228.1%
X3.6425.6%
22.0146.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DLWLWDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
WLLLDDWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
3.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.70
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.50goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
9.10
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.80
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%28.7%+0.7 pp
Draw25.6%19.2%-6.4 pp
Away46.3%52.1%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.251.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.4%
0-19.6%
1-18.4%
2-17.8%
0-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.16
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Away FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.5%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals35.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away70.0%