Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 18:00
110.708.8%
X5.9615.7%
21.2475.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
WLWLWWLLDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Paris SG
WDWLWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.70
Against
3.20
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.20goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.00
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.90goals per match
Angers conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.20
8.60
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
25.70
Match total
19.30

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
4.20
On target
7.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.8%10.0%+1.2 pp
Draw15.7%10.0%-5.7 pp
Away75.5%80.0%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS38.3%

Historical average

0.582.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-315.0%
1-213.3%
0-213.3%
0-111.7%
1-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.906.75
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%