Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:00
11.6357.2%
X3.8324.3%
25.0318.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
WLWWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Auxerre
LDLLDWDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
1.70goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.30Matchup
Auxerre attack
0.90goals per matchLyon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.50
Match total
28.90
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches624
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%58.2%+1.0 pp
Draw24.3%24.5%+0.2 pp
Away18.5%17.3%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.74–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.0%
1-012.7%
1-111.4%
2-09.5%
3-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.02–3.80
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.6%40.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%28.5%–42.0% CI
Away FT17.5%12.7%–23.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.4%
Away40.2%