Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:00
11.6357.2%
X3.8324.3%
25.0318.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WLWWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Auxerre
LDLLDWDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.30
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.90goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.50
Match total
28.90

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches624
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%58.2%+1.0 pp
Draw24.3%24.5%+0.2 pp
Away18.5%17.3%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.740.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-012.7%
1-111.4%
2-09.5%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.80
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.6%40.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%28.5%–42.0% CI
Away FT17.5%12.7%–23.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away40.2%