Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 19:45
15.4317.3%
X4.2022.3%
21.5560.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
LDWWWLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lens
LWWWWLWDLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
80%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.10
Against
2.30
8.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.40
Matchup

Lens attack

1.90goals per match
Brest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.30
8.70
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
25.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.00
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%13.3%-3.9 pp
Draw22.3%20.6%-1.7 pp
Away60.4%66.1%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

0.892.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-210.7%
0-29.4%
1-18.2%
0-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.98
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%8.1%–26.1% CI
Draw FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI
Away FT53.3%40.9%–65.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away70.0%