Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 18:00
11.1779.9%
X7.2812.8%
212.847.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Nantes
WDLLWLLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.70
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.90
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
18.60
Match total
27.90

Shots

21.10N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
7.40
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%81.3%+1.4 pp
Draw12.8%14.1%+1.2 pp
Away7.3%4.7%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

2.690.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.2%
3-010.9%
1-010.9%
1-17.8%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.952.66
Average total10.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%