Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 19:45
11.2873.0%
X5.7016.4%
28.8510.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
DWWWWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lyon
DDLWWWLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.00
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.30
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
9.70
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.90goals per match
Lyon conceded1.00
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.20goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.50
Match total
24.10

Shots

20.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
7.70
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.0%74.3%+1.3 pp
Draw16.4%17.6%+1.2 pp
Away10.6%8.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.350.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.5%
2-012.2%
1-010.8%
1-18.1%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.61
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.3%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away47.1%